We can not reimburse you your lost risk capital. However, our fees will be 100% reimbursed if you are not happy with the results.

 

Copyrighted:
June 25, 2009 by
IHL Swing Trader is copyrighted, trademarked and controlled by
IHL, Inc.
1340 W. Lambert #84
La Habra, CA 90631

Model Portfolio Performance
December 13, 2004 to June 6, 2006

These results are on CLOSED trades ONLY.
Open positions are not included until closed and profit or loss can be determined.

A break in trading occurred in order to change analysis software.
Time was required to adapt to the new software and gain experience in using it effectively.

The second section includes all trades following the break.

The results were:

First Section Only			Second Section Only			Total Results Both Sections
# of	% gain	Days in	# of	% gain	Days in	# of	% gain	Days in
Trades	per trade	trade	Trades	per trade	trade	Trades	per trade	trade
55	120%	11	152	103%	45	207	107%	36

Average gain based on per quarter results (computed to expiration day of the following month - 4th Qtr 2004 ends on 3rd Frday of Jan. 2005)

4th Qtr 2004		1Q 2005	2Q 2005	3Q 2005	4Q 2005	1Q 2006	2Q 2006
163%		95%	148%	53%	244%	15%	57%**

**NOTE: This figure is unrealistic. It includes those trades closed at a loss based on expiration dates but does NOT include those trades still open from this Quarter that are currently profitable and awaiting additional rollovers for additional credit or closure at a trailing stop loss currently in a profitable position. See the .pdf file below for details of those open trades.

Highest active positions open at any one time = 41
These are averages. Individual specific trades will differ from these averages.

• If a trader uses an average dollar amount per trade the average gain per trade works out over all.
• If a trader uses an fixed number of contracts per trade the average gain per trade doesn't work out due to variable dollars per gain and loss.
• Considering the average dollar amount per trade and the average number of days per trade a general estimate of annual gain can be computed as
• 12 Months x 20 trading days per month = 240 trading days.
• 240 days / 36 days per trade = 6.7 turn overs per year.
• 6.7 x 107% = 717% per year.
• The above figure considers being FULL INVESTED throughout the entire year. This is impossible. However, if you average only 50% invested it would be 358%.
• Next, if you consider NOT hitting every entry and exit exactly as the model portfolio does and are not in each recommended trade a reasonable difference would be to expect to only do about 40% as well as the model portfolio.
• 717% x 50% = 358%. . . . 358% x 40% = 143% per year or about 10% per month as a reasonable expectation.

For details on the ALL trades view the Model Portfolio.pdf file.

 

 

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